Crypto Could Help Diversify Portfolios: JP Morgan

Original Article posted HERE by Annaliese Milano

Cryptocurrencies could one day help investors diversify their equity and bond portfolios, analysts for JPMorgan Chase wrote in a new, 71-page research report focused on the tech.

The report, entitled “Decrypting Cryptocurrencies: Technology, Applications and Challenges” and dated Feb. 9, was drafted by the bank’s Global Research unit. A copy obtained by CoinDesk explores a range of subjects related to cryptocurrency and blockchain, notably exploring the implications for investors, financial firms and central banks, among others.

Perhaps the most notable part of the report is that it – albeit cautiously – predicts that cryptocurrencies might one day play a role in the diversification of global bond and equity portfolios. The report states:

“If past returns, volatilities and correlations persist, [cryptocurrencies] could potentially have a role in diversifying one’s global bond and equity portfolio. But in our view, that is a big if given the astronomic returns and volatilities of the past few years.”

“If [cryptocurrencies] survive the next few years and remain part of the global market, then they will likely have exited their current speculative phase and would then have more normal returns, volatilities (both much lower) and correlations (more like that of other zero-return assets such as gold and JPY),” the authors continue.

That sentiment perhaps stands in contrast with comments from the bank’s chairman, president and CEO, Jamie Dimon, who last year issued his now-infamous remark that bitcoin is a “fraud.” As posited by the report’s authors, cryptocurrencies are “unlikely to disappear completely.”

“[Cryptocurrencies] are unlikely to disappear completely and could easily survive in varying forms and shapes among players who desire greater decentralization, peer-to-peer networks and anonymity, even as the latter is under threat,” they wrote.

2088_HIGHLIGHT_FT

Blockchain boon

Looking past the investment picture, the bank’s report looks at the wider question of blockchain use, particularly by private firms who would maintain their own gated or “permissioned” blockchains.

The authors write that blockchain is a “superior database,” and that despite concerns from regulators, the tech itself is potentially “regulation friendly.”

“In our view, the biggest appeal of blockchain will be in the ability to deliver efficiency gains across the value chain,” the report states, going on to explain:

“The proposed uses a distributed ledger in the financial sector are likely to be based on known participants defined in advance, with appropriate KYC/AML documentation with tightly authorized access. Consequently, we believe that distributed ledger technology has the potential to offer regulators greater degrees of transparency, higher levels of resiliency and shorter settlement times, reducing counterparty and market risk.”

Likewise, the authors argued that blockchain has the potential to disrupt “cross-border payments, settlement/clearing/collateral management as well as the broader world of TMT, transportation and healthcare.” That said, the report cautions that any benefits would be seen “only where any cost efficiencies offset regulatory, technical and security hurdles” to implementing the technology.

On central bank cryptos

The report also touches on the topic of a so-called “Fedcoin,” or a kind of cryptocurrency (or digital currency) created by a central bank.

And while Fed officials themselves have largely said “no time soon” to the idea (in contrast with other central banks who are actively investigating applications), JPMorgan’s report digs into the possible implications – and ramifications – of such an issuance.

The report’s authors make the case that, in one sense, a Fedcoin would be supportive of a “central bank-provided payment services” within a cashless system, and that this could help banks implement negative interest rates, which some economists endorse.

However, they also point out that the issuance of such a currency “would give non-banks access to the Fed balance sheet,” which could in turn “endanger the economically and socially important financial intermediation function of commercial banks.”

Likewise, the authors claimed that a state-issued cryptocurrency could impact the extension of credit to the private sector because it would undermine fractional reserve banking, writing:

“If cryptocurrencies were seen as superior to bank deposits, prompting a wholesale shift into cryptocurrencies, then a much larger share of savings would go to the central bank’s assets (government debt) and less to commercial banks loans, thus potentially dramatically increasing private credit risk premia and reducing the flow of credit to the private sector”


Disclaimer:

The information provided on this website does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the website’s content as such. CryptoCurrencyClarified does not recommend that any cryptocurrency should be bought, sold or held by you and nothing on this website should be taken as an offer to buy, sell or hold a cryptocurrency. Do conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisory before making any investment decision.

Accuracy of Information

CryptoCurrency Clarified will strive to ensure accuracy of information listed on this website although it will not hold any responsibility for any missing or wrong information. You understand that you are using any and all information available here AT YOUR OWN RISK.

Price Risk

The price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are highly volatile. It is common for prices to increase or decrease by over 20-100% in some coins in a single day. Although this could mean potential huge profits, this also could mean potential huge losses. DO NOT INVEST ALL YOUR MONEY IN CRYPTOCURRENCIES. Only invest money which you are willing to lose.

Cryptocurrency trading may not be suitable for all users of this website. Anyone looking to invest in cryptocurrencies should consult a fully qualified independent professional financial advisor.

  1. […] Read JP Morgan: Crypto Could Help Diversify Portfolios […]

    Reply

Leave a Reply

%d bloggers like this: